{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "",
    "prefecture_name": "全国",
    "prefecture_name_en": "National",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "nationwide-ranking",
    "ranking_id": "top50",
    "ranking_label": "全国 Top 50",
    "ranking_label_en": "National Top 50"
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 50,
    "municipality_count": 50,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -21.33758,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 150.0
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304271",
      "municipality_name": "北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 2.0,
      "target_votes": 5.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 150.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.793651,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.992032,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.198381
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "32",
      "prefecture_name": "島根県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shimane",
      "jis_code": "325279",
      "municipality_name": "知夫村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chibu-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 3.0,
      "target_votes": 6.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 100.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.78125,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.704545,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.923295
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "443220",
      "municipality_name": "姫島村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Himeshima-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 11.0,
      "target_votes": 20.0,
      "votes_delta": 9.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 81.818182,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.912863,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.687764,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.774901
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155861",
      "municipality_name": "粟島浦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awashimaura-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 4.0,
      "target_votes": 5.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 25.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.809955,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.336449,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.526494
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "01",
      "prefecture_name": "北海道",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Hokkaido",
      "jis_code": "015130",
      "municipality_name": "中頓別町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakatombetsu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 19.0,
      "target_votes": 22.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.789474,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.13964,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.612827,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.473187
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442143",
      "municipality_name": "国東市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kunisaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 430.0,
      "target_votes": 492.0,
      "votes_delta": 62.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 14.418605,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.298811,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.723606,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.424795
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442100",
      "municipality_name": "杵築市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitsuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 462.0,
      "target_votes": 528.0,
      "votes_delta": 66.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 14.285714,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.50744,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.043808,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.536368
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "443417",
      "municipality_name": "日出町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hiji-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 590.0,
      "target_votes": 660.0,
      "votes_delta": 70.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.864407,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.228784,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.683176,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.454392
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "03",
      "prefecture_name": "岩手県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Iwate",
      "jis_code": "034851",
      "municipality_name": "普代村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fudai-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 17.0,
      "target_votes": 19.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.764706,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.329163,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.474011,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.144848
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "39",
      "prefecture_name": "高知県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kochi",
      "jis_code": "393410",
      "municipality_name": "本山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Motoyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 17.0,
      "target_votes": 19.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.764706,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.05133,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.175743,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.124413
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442119",
      "municipality_name": "宇佐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Usa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 957.0,
      "target_votes": 1061.0,
      "votes_delta": 104.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.867294,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.767865,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.13613,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.368265
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442020",
      "municipality_name": "別府市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Beppu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2299.0,
      "target_votes": 2501.0,
      "votes_delta": 202.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 8.786429,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.282228,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.793575,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.511347
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "01",
      "prefecture_name": "北海道",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Hokkaido",
      "jis_code": "014630",
      "municipality_name": "占冠村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimukappu-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 16.0,
      "target_votes": 17.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.25,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.57649,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.896082,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.319592
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384844",
      "municipality_name": "松野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsuno-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 38.0,
      "target_votes": 40.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.263158,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.997897,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.123142,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.125245
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442097",
      "municipality_name": "豊後高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Bungotakada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 301.0,
      "target_votes": 315.0,
      "votes_delta": 14.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.651163,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.818616,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.945852,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.127236
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "02",
      "prefecture_name": "青森県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Aomori",
      "jis_code": "024066",
      "municipality_name": "横浜町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yokohama-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 29.0,
      "target_votes": 30.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.448276,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.582969,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.70068,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.117711
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "442038",
      "municipality_name": "中津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakatsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1673.0,
      "target_votes": 1686.0,
      "votes_delta": 13.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.777047,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.346809,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.427172,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.080363
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "01",
      "prefecture_name": "北海道",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Hokkaido",
      "jis_code": "013048",
      "municipality_name": "新篠津村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shinshinotsu-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 33.0,
      "target_votes": 33.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.056075,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.068966,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.012891
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "13",
      "prefecture_name": "東京都",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokyo",
      "jis_code": "133620",
      "municipality_name": "利島村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Toshima-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 8.0,
      "target_votes": 8.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.255319,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.940887,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.314432
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "20",
      "prefecture_name": "長野県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nagano",
      "jis_code": "203076",
      "municipality_name": "北相木村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitaaiki-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 6.0,
      "target_votes": 6.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.608579,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.570681,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.037898
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "20",
      "prefecture_name": "長野県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nagano",
      "jis_code": "204293",
      "municipality_name": "王滝村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Otaki-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 11.0,
      "target_votes": 11.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.552204,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.763819,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.211615
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "31",
      "prefecture_name": "鳥取県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tottori",
      "jis_code": "314021",
      "municipality_name": "日野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 15.0,
      "target_votes": 15.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.959079,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.010101,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.051022
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473600",
      "municipality_name": "伊是名村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izena-son",
      "baseline_votes": 4.0,
      "target_votes": 4.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.727273,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.673401,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.053872
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "06",
      "prefecture_name": "山形県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamagata",
      "jis_code": "063657",
      "municipality_name": "大蔵村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ohkura-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 31.0,
      "target_votes": 30.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.225806,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.787774,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.864512,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.076738
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363014",
      "municipality_name": "勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 48.0,
      "target_votes": 46.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.166667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.270577,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.001741,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.268836
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "39",
      "prefecture_name": "高知県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kochi",
      "jis_code": "393444",
      "municipality_name": "大豊町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Otoyo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 36.0,
      "target_votes": 34.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.555556,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.219482,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.139711,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.079771
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473154",
      "municipality_name": "伊江村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ie-son",
      "baseline_votes": 34.0,
      "target_votes": 32.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.882353,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.889939,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.761145,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.128794
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "39",
      "prefecture_name": "高知県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kochi",
      "jis_code": "393053",
      "municipality_name": "北川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitagawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 15.0,
      "target_votes": 14.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.666667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.199413,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.121212,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.078201
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "34",
      "prefecture_name": "広島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima",
      "jis_code": "343684",
      "municipality_name": "安芸太田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiota-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 43.0,
      "target_votes": 40.0,
      "votes_delta": -3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.976744,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.461591,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.412928,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.048663
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103837",
      "municipality_name": "南牧村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nammoku-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 11.0,
      "target_votes": 10.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.090909,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.237345,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.131222,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.106123
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "01",
      "prefecture_name": "北海道",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Hokkaido",
      "jis_code": "016098",
      "municipality_name": "えりも町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Erimo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 60.0,
      "target_votes": 54.0,
      "votes_delta": -6.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.717391,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.356021,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.36137
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "02",
      "prefecture_name": "青森県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Aomori",
      "jis_code": "024244",
      "municipality_name": "東通村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashidori-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 57.0,
      "target_votes": 51.0,
      "votes_delta": -6.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.526316,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.173084,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.986755,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.186329
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "44",
      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Oita",
      "jis_code": "444618",
      "municipality_name": "九重町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kokonoe-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 136.0,
      "target_votes": 121.0,
      "votes_delta": -15.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.029412,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.218935,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.86052,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.358415
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384020",
      "municipality_name": "砥部町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tobe-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 375.0,
      "target_votes": 327.0,
      "votes_delta": -48.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.662825,
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      "prefecture_name": "大分県",
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      "prefecture_code": "42",
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      "municipality_name": "平戸市",
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  ]
}
