{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "04",
    "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 40,
    "municipality_count": 40,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -28.90922,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 16.322936
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042021",
      "municipality_name": "石巻市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ishinomaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 14231.931,
      "target_votes": 16555.0,
      "votes_delta": 2323.069,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 16.322936,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.023509,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.250277,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.773232
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042145",
      "municipality_name": "東松島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashimatsushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4071.368,
      "target_votes": 4392.0,
      "votes_delta": 320.632,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.875289,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.308436,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.860488,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.447948
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044229",
      "municipality_name": "大郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Osato-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 920.263,
      "target_votes": 959.0,
      "votes_delta": 38.737,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.20934,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.315613,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.758797,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.556816
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "046060",
      "municipality_name": "南三陸町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamisanriku-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1022.248,
      "target_votes": 1051.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.752,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.812625,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.031207,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.488225,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.542982
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044040",
      "municipality_name": "七ヶ浜町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shichigahama-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2011.634,
      "target_votes": 2037.0,
      "votes_delta": 25.366,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.260965,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.370589,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.477289,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.8933
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "045810",
      "municipality_name": "女川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Onagawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 569.374,
      "target_votes": 574.0,
      "votes_delta": 4.626,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.812471,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.253228,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.944406,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.308822
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042056",
      "municipality_name": "気仙沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kesennuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5592.191,
      "target_votes": 5615.0,
      "votes_delta": 22.809,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.407872,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.975312,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.939773,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.035539
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043419",
      "municipality_name": "丸森町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Marumori-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1361.336,
      "target_votes": 1361.0,
      "votes_delta": -0.336,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.024682,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.760567,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.457428,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.303139
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044016",
      "municipality_name": "松島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsushima-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1785.51,
      "target_votes": 1784.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.51,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.08457,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.508862,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.150689,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.358173
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044458",
      "municipality_name": "加美町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2388.709,
      "target_votes": 2377.0,
      "votes_delta": -11.709,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.490181,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.30144,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.210624,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.090816
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043222",
      "municipality_name": "村田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murata-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1285.064,
      "target_votes": 1273.0,
      "votes_delta": -12.064,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.938786,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.183048,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.551591,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.631457
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042129",
      "municipality_name": "登米市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tome-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7296.509,
      "target_votes": 7173.0,
      "votes_delta": -123.509,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.692714,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.874745,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.412123,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.462622
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042137",
      "municipality_name": "栗原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kurihara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7450.451,
      "target_votes": 7266.0,
      "votes_delta": -184.451,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.475702,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.795364,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.083527,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.711837
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042030",
      "municipality_name": "塩竈市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shiogama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5999.291,
      "target_votes": 5839.0,
      "votes_delta": -160.291,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.671832,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.082745,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.634892,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.447853
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044067",
      "municipality_name": "利府町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Rifu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 4215.486,
      "target_votes": 4096.0,
      "votes_delta": -119.486,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.834454,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.545743,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.988405,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.557338
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "045055",
      "municipality_name": "美里町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misato-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2886.197,
      "target_votes": 2785.0,
      "votes_delta": -101.197,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.50624,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.290063,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.343171,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.946892
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "045012",
      "municipality_name": "涌谷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Wakuya-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1737.192,
      "target_votes": 1659.0,
      "votes_delta": -78.192,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.501057,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.084377,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.117335,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.967042
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043230",
      "municipality_name": "柴田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 4280.83,
      "target_votes": 4040.0,
      "votes_delta": -240.83,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.625778,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.966456,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.067675,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.898781
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042080",
      "municipality_name": "角田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kakuda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3135.685,
      "target_votes": 2954.0,
      "votes_delta": -181.685,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.794109,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.345013,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.609335,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.735678
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043214",
      "municipality_name": "大河原町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ogawara-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2591.321,
      "target_votes": 2396.0,
      "votes_delta": -195.321,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.537507,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.304267,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.702899,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.601368
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042099",
      "municipality_name": "多賀城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagajo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6569.97,
      "target_votes": 6052.0,
      "votes_delta": -517.97,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.883902,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.283729,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.731707,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.552022
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042064",
      "municipality_name": "白石市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shiroishi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3945.926,
      "target_votes": 3602.0,
      "votes_delta": -343.926,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.715977,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.739351,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.9431,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.796251
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043613",
      "municipality_name": "亘理町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Watari-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3974.801,
      "target_votes": 3623.0,
      "votes_delta": -351.801,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.850783,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.283151,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.702977,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.580174
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042110",
      "municipality_name": "岩沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iwanuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4675.273,
      "target_votes": 4235.0,
      "votes_delta": -440.273,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.417054,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.105558,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.842282,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.263276
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044210",
      "municipality_name": "大和町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taiwa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2794.727,
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      "votes_delta": -268.727,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.615501,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.590507,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.736944
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042153",
      "municipality_name": "大崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Osaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13199.634,
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      "votes_delta": -1321.634,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.012656,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.806213,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.886459,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.919754
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044245",
      "municipality_name": "大衡村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ohira-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 680.14,
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      "votes_delta": -70.14,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.312583,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.726865,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.318043,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.408822
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "042161",
      "municipality_name": "富谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tomiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6231.71,
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      "votes_delta": -699.71,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.228218,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.097873,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.070272,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.027601
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043621",
      "municipality_name": "山元町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamamoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1620.625,
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      "votes_delta": -183.625,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.330505,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.611273,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.237092,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.374181
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "041050",
      "municipality_name": "泉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 25668.532,
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      "votes_delta": -3128.532,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.1882,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.01465,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.347809,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.666841
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "041017",
      "municipality_name": "青葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aoba-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 31747.565,
      "target_votes": 27809.0,
      "votes_delta": -3938.565,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.405881,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.162813,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.027944,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.134869
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "043010",
      "municipality_name": "蔵王町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Zao-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1399.692,
      "target_votes": 1223.0,
      "votes_delta": -176.692,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.623634,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.927511,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.695938,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.231573
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "04",
      "prefecture_name": "宮城県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Miyagi",
      "jis_code": "044440",
      "municipality_name": "色麻町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shikama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 786.712,
      "target_votes": 687.0,
      "votes_delta": -99.712,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.674524,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.355511,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.111361,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.24415
    },
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}
