{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "19",
    "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 27,
    "municipality_count": 27,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -29.134884,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 50.591737
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194433",
      "municipality_name": "丹波山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tabayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 56.444,
      "target_votes": 85.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.556,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 50.591737,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.21954,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.297619,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 9.078079
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193640",
      "municipality_name": "早川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hayakawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 100.333,
      "target_votes": 138.0,
      "votes_delta": 37.667,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 37.541985,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.147519,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.640927,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 7.493408
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192090",
      "municipality_name": "北杜市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hokuto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6712.334,
      "target_votes": 7773.0,
      "votes_delta": 1060.666,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.801746,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.150592,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.777045,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.626453
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193666",
      "municipality_name": "南部町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nambu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 856.357,
      "target_votes": 923.0,
      "votes_delta": 66.643,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.782152,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.217963,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.683706,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.465743
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193682",
      "municipality_name": "富士川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujikawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1963.062,
      "target_votes": 2103.0,
      "votes_delta": 139.938,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.128557,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.805994,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.577253,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.771259
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192015",
      "municipality_name": "甲府市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kofu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 19901.428,
      "target_votes": 20811.0,
      "votes_delta": 909.572,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.570386,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.039127,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.725842,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.686715
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192104",
      "municipality_name": "甲斐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8251.844,
      "target_votes": 8559.0,
      "votes_delta": 307.156,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.722271,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.954946,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.966734,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.011788
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192082",
      "municipality_name": "南アルプス市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiarupusu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8390.278,
      "target_votes": 8672.0,
      "votes_delta": 281.722,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.357719,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.28656,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.948216,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.661656
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192074",
      "municipality_name": "韮崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nirasaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3704.605,
      "target_votes": 3824.0,
      "votes_delta": 119.395,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.222881,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.937163,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.553712,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.616549
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193658",
      "municipality_name": "身延町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minobu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1365.577,
      "target_votes": 1404.0,
      "votes_delta": 38.423,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.813682,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.914741,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.288184,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.373443
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193844",
      "municipality_name": "昭和町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Showa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2019.181,
      "target_votes": 2071.0,
      "votes_delta": 51.819,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.566338,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.66927,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.018979,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.349709
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192147",
      "municipality_name": "中央市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3547.797,
      "target_votes": 3617.0,
      "votes_delta": 69.203,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.950591,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.324971,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.895038,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.570067
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194255",
      "municipality_name": "山中湖村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamanakako-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 474.55,
      "target_votes": 476.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.45,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.305553,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.564119,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.637539,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.07342
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194425",
      "municipality_name": "小菅村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kosuge-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 88.8,
      "target_votes": 89.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.2,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.225225,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.733333,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.0,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.266667
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "193461",
      "municipality_name": "市川三郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikawamisato-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2269.897,
      "target_votes": 2228.0,
      "votes_delta": -41.897,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.845767,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.323046,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.689158,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.633888
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194298",
      "municipality_name": "鳴沢村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Narusawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 290.689,
      "target_votes": 275.0,
      "votes_delta": -15.689,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.397177,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.159917,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.339219,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.179302
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192139",
      "municipality_name": "甲州市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koshu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3557.067,
      "target_votes": 3321.0,
      "votes_delta": -236.067,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.636563,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.538029,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.38403,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.153999
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192112",
      "municipality_name": "笛吹市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fuefuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6808.299,
      "target_votes": 6350.0,
      "votes_delta": -458.299,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.731476,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.244254,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.910907,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.333347
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192058",
      "municipality_name": "山梨市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamanashi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4046.056,
      "target_votes": 3733.0,
      "votes_delta": -313.056,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.737313,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.236588,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.781614,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.454974
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192120",
      "municipality_name": "上野原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uenohara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2417.242,
      "target_votes": 2172.0,
      "votes_delta": -245.242,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.145529,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.226221,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.851933,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.374288
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192066",
      "municipality_name": "大月市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Otsuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3135.706,
      "target_votes": 2723.0,
      "votes_delta": -412.706,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.161502,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.780696,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.903969,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.876727
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194239",
      "municipality_name": "西桂町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikatsura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 476.073,
      "target_votes": 386.0,
      "votes_delta": -90.073,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.919998,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.834705,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.810916,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.023789
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194220",
      "municipality_name": "道志村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Doshi-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 226.156,
      "target_votes": 182.0,
      "votes_delta": -44.156,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.524576,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.195488,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.0,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.195488
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194301",
      "municipality_name": "富士河口湖町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujikawaguchiko-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2555.024,
      "target_votes": 2008.0,
      "votes_delta": -547.024,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.40974,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.322574,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.213161,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.109413
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192040",
      "municipality_name": "都留市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsuru-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3543.248,
      "target_votes": 2745.0,
      "votes_delta": -798.248,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.528708,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.226797,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.868177,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.35862
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "192023",
      "municipality_name": "富士吉田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujiyoshida-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4616.585,
      "target_votes": 3460.0,
      "votes_delta": -1156.585,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.052826,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.747562,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.469916,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.277646
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "19",
      "prefecture_name": "山梨県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Yamanashi",
      "jis_code": "194247",
      "municipality_name": "忍野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oshino-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 783.178,
      "target_votes": 555.0,
      "votes_delta": -228.178,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -29.134884,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.659817,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.871058,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.788759
    }
  ]
}
