{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "29",
    "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -51.600636,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -7.728442
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294519",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡上北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 35.764,
      "target_votes": 33.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.764,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.728442,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.12339,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.0,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.12339
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292010",
      "municipality_name": "奈良市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 34484.379,
      "target_votes": 28522.0,
      "votes_delta": -5962.379,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.290087,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.892651,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.687029,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.205622
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292095",
      "municipality_name": "生駒市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikoma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10443.091,
      "target_votes": 8582.0,
      "votes_delta": -1861.091,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.821266,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.566868,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.275377,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.291491
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294500",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡下北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimokitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 111.744,
      "target_votes": 85.0,
      "votes_delta": -26.744,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.933276,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.465934,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.260323,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.205611
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294241",
      "municipality_name": "北葛城郡上牧町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kammaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2401.793,
      "target_votes": 1773.0,
      "votes_delta": -628.793,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.18015,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.369312,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.984494,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.384818
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293423",
      "municipality_name": "生駒郡平群町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Heguri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1803.653,
      "target_votes": 1322.0,
      "votes_delta": -481.653,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.704305,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.812097,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.862425,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.949672
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294012",
      "municipality_name": "高市郡高取町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takatori-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 566.931,
      "target_votes": 411.0,
      "votes_delta": -155.931,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -27.504405,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.182521,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.538133,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.644388
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292036",
      "municipality_name": "大和郡山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatokoriyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7826.767,
      "target_votes": 5631.0,
      "votes_delta": -2195.767,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.054585,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.668704,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.302308,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.366396
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294020",
      "municipality_name": "高市郡明日香村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asuka-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 510.518,
      "target_votes": 367.0,
      "votes_delta": -143.518,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.112231,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.994995,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.394461,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.600534
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294276",
      "municipality_name": "北葛城郡河合町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawai-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1755.981,
      "target_votes": 1258.0,
      "votes_delta": -497.981,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.359134,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.398818,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.56188,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.836938
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294250",
      "municipality_name": "北葛城郡王寺町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oji-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2108.992,
      "target_votes": 1507.0,
      "votes_delta": -601.992,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.544063,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.096239,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.933798,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.162441
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293431",
      "municipality_name": "生駒郡三郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sango-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1952.02,
      "target_votes": 1357.0,
      "votes_delta": -595.02,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.48227,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.098984,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.637081,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.461903
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293458",
      "municipality_name": "生駒郡安堵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ando-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 612.816,
      "target_votes": 422.0,
      "votes_delta": -190.816,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.137568,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.643626,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.171906,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.47172
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292109",
      "municipality_name": "香芝市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiba-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6956.91,
      "target_votes": 4771.0,
      "votes_delta": -2185.91,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.420703,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.447471,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.398648,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.048823
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294535",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡東吉野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiyoshino-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 217.294,
      "target_votes": 148.0,
      "votes_delta": -69.294,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.889514,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.366175,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.132924,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.233251
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294497",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡十津川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Totsukawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 387.064,
      "target_votes": 263.0,
      "votes_delta": -124.064,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.05258,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.017292,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.123634,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.893658
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294268",
      "municipality_name": "北葛城郡広陵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koryo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2950.258,
      "target_votes": 1983.0,
      "votes_delta": -967.258,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.785539,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.319819,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.018503,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.301316
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293440",
      "municipality_name": "生駒郡斑鳩町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikaruga-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2465.42,
      "target_votes": 1657.0,
      "votes_delta": -808.42,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.790356,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.08301,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.279782,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.803228
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293636",
      "municipality_name": "磯城郡田原本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tawaramoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2945.538,
      "target_votes": 1957.0,
      "votes_delta": -988.538,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.560524,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.985098,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.348561,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.636537
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292087",
      "municipality_name": "御所市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gose-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2336.015,
      "target_votes": 1544.0,
      "votes_delta": -792.015,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -33.904534,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.663869,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.333457,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.330412
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292028",
      "municipality_name": "大和高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatotakada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6308.889,
      "target_votes": 4115.0,
      "votes_delta": -2193.889,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.77457,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.892437,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.757941,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.134496
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292052",
      "municipality_name": "橿原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashihara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 11640.655,
      "target_votes": 7542.0,
      "votes_delta": -4098.655,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.209831,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.53895,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.124967,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.413983
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294527",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡川上村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawakami-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 168.652,
      "target_votes": 109.0,
      "votes_delta": -59.652,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.369874,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.456997,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.398943,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.058054
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292060",
      "municipality_name": "桜井市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakurai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5304.16,
      "target_votes": 3426.0,
      "votes_delta": -1878.16,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.409188,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.657242,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.417404,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.239838
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292044",
      "municipality_name": "天理市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenri-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4598.25,
      "target_votes": 2938.0,
      "votes_delta": -1660.25,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.106127,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.346427,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.168201,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.178226
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292117",
      "municipality_name": "葛城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3329.355,
      "target_votes": 2089.0,
      "votes_delta": -1240.355,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.255114,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.968347,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.472979,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -6.495368
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293628",
      "municipality_name": "磯城郡三宅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyake-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 647.052,
      "target_votes": 403.0,
      "votes_delta": -244.052,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.717525,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.157383,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.105737,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.051646
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294420",
      "municipality_name": "吉野郡大淀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyodo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2114.139,
      "target_votes": 1307.0,
      "votes_delta": -807.139,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.178142,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.933992,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.600382,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -10.33361
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292079",
      "municipality_name": "五條市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gojo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3044.796,
      "target_votes": 1860.0,
      "votes_delta": -1184.796,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.912164,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.490737,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.722886,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.767851
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292125",
      "municipality_name": "宇陀市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3399.203,
      "target_votes": 2075.0,
      "votes_delta": -1324.203,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.956279,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.966742,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.718399,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.248343
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293610",
      "municipality_name": "磯城郡川西町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawanishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 800.072,
      "target_votes": 488.0,
      "votes_delta": -312.072,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.00549,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.376895,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.154285,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -8.22261
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293857",
      "municipality_name": "宇陀郡曽爾村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Soni-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 197.0,
      "target_votes": 120.0,
      "votes_delta": -77.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.086294,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.452196,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.172507,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -9.279689
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293865",
      "municipality_name": "宇陀郡御杖村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsue-mura",
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}
