{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "30",
    "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 30,
    "municipality_count": 30,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -28.235612,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 21.157574
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304271",
      "municipality_name": "北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 28.888,
      "target_votes": 35.0,
      "votes_delta": 6.112,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 21.157574,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.463492,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.944223,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.480731
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303445",
      "municipality_name": "高野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koya-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 155.204,
      "target_votes": 156.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.796,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.512873,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.486757,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.751206,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.264449
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304069",
      "municipality_name": "すさみ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Susami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 333.21,
      "target_votes": 332.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.21,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.363134,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.012014,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.210938,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.198924
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304220",
      "municipality_name": "太地町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taiji-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 200.647,
      "target_votes": 192.0,
      "votes_delta": -8.647,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.309559,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.61824,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.205976,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.587736
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304018",
      "municipality_name": "白浜町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shirahama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1623.066,
      "target_votes": 1525.0,
      "votes_delta": -98.066,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.042022,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.914635,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.601569,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.313066
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304280",
      "municipality_name": "串本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kushimoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1334.597,
      "target_votes": 1246.0,
      "votes_delta": -88.597,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.638483,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.536069,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.977204,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.558865
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304247",
      "municipality_name": "古座川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kozagawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 328.931,
      "target_votes": 300.0,
      "votes_delta": -28.931,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.795462,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.766691,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.443889,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.322802
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302074",
      "municipality_name": "新宮市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shingu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2782.995,
      "target_votes": 2477.0,
      "votes_delta": -305.995,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.995169,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.064146,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.664973,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.399173
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303917",
      "municipality_name": "みなべ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minabe-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 849.419,
      "target_votes": 750.0,
      "votes_delta": -99.419,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.704353,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.709151,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.726964,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.982187
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304042",
      "municipality_name": "上富田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamitonda-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1553.519,
      "target_votes": 1349.0,
      "votes_delta": -204.519,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.164886,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.532897,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.562065,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.970832
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303046",
      "municipality_name": "紀美野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kimino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 848.825,
      "target_votes": 735.0,
      "votes_delta": -113.825,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.409713,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.481868,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.891918,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.58995
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303810",
      "municipality_name": "美浜町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mihama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 586.069,
      "target_votes": 503.0,
      "votes_delta": -83.069,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.173928,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.737621,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.297897,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.439724
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303437",
      "municipality_name": "九度山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kudoyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 384.642,
      "target_votes": 330.0,
      "votes_delta": -54.642,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.205937,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.246774,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.751269,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.495505
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302066",
      "municipality_name": "田辺市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tanabe-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6274.372,
      "target_votes": 5374.0,
      "votes_delta": -900.372,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.349994,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.474136,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.732462,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.741674
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303925",
      "municipality_name": "日高川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hidakagawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 916.166,
      "target_votes": 783.0,
      "votes_delta": -133.166,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.535139,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.594204,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.762444,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.83176
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "304212",
      "municipality_name": "那智勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nachikatsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1638.11,
      "target_votes": 1385.0,
      "votes_delta": -253.11,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.451343,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.603891,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.949932,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.653959
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302082",
      "municipality_name": "紀の川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kinokawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5521.081,
      "target_votes": 4637.0,
      "votes_delta": -884.081,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.012824,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.823637,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.903,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.920637
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303909",
      "municipality_name": "印南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Inami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 575.358,
      "target_votes": 483.0,
      "votes_delta": -92.358,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.052267,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.505064,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.55226,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.952804
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303615",
      "municipality_name": "湯浅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuasa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1052.523,
      "target_votes": 879.0,
      "votes_delta": -173.523,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.486386,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.431649,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.783803,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.647846
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302015",
      "municipality_name": "和歌山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Wakayama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 32138.856,
      "target_votes": 26471.0,
      "votes_delta": -5667.856,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.635525,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.879541,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.780562,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.098979
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303828",
      "municipality_name": "日高町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hidaka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 605.861,
      "target_votes": 497.0,
      "votes_delta": -108.861,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.967983,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.073426,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.190337,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.883089
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303836",
      "municipality_name": "由良町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 465.009,
      "target_votes": 378.0,
      "votes_delta": -87.009,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.711251,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.779063,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.866471,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.912592
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303666",
      "municipality_name": "有田川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aridagawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1852.736,
      "target_votes": 1471.0,
      "votes_delta": -381.736,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.603907,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.233203,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.205912,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.027291
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302023",
      "municipality_name": "海南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kainan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4187.077,
      "target_votes": 3304.0,
      "votes_delta": -883.077,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.090536,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.975688,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.318281,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.657407
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302058",
      "municipality_name": "御坊市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gobo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1631.002,
      "target_votes": 1282.0,
      "votes_delta": -349.002,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.398012,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.446431,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.914275,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.532156
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302090",
      "municipality_name": "岩出市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iwade-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4826.453,
      "target_votes": 3780.0,
      "votes_delta": -1046.453,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.681616,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.29371,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.792536,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.501174
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302031",
      "municipality_name": "橋本市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hashimoto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5291.221,
      "target_votes": 4027.0,
      "votes_delta": -1264.221,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.892803,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.449167,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.858701,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.590466
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "302040",
      "municipality_name": "有田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Arida-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2364.926,
      "target_votes": 1742.0,
      "votes_delta": -622.926,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.34019,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.813543,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.933562,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.879981
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303623",
      "municipality_name": "広川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hirogawa-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 697.765,
      "target_votes": 501.0,
      "votes_delta": -196.765,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.199322,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.940418,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.623467,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.316951
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "30",
      "prefecture_name": "和歌山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Wakayama",
      "jis_code": "303410",
      "municipality_name": "かつらぎ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1456.154,
      "target_votes": 1045.0,
      "votes_delta": -411.154,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.235612,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.176932,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.219622,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.95731
    }
  ]
}
