{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "38",
    "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 20,
    "municipality_count": 20,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -21.771483,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 10.351663
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382060",
      "municipality_name": "西条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Saijo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10129.435,
      "target_votes": 11178.0,
      "votes_delta": 1048.565,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.351663,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.267815,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.911372,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.643557
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382051",
      "municipality_name": "新居浜市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niihama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 11943.74,
      "target_votes": 12088.0,
      "votes_delta": 144.26,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.207829,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.675349,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.465921,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.209428
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382027",
      "municipality_name": "今治市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Imabari-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13053.754,
      "target_votes": 13155.0,
      "votes_delta": 101.246,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.775608,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.30954,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.808764,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.500776
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382132",
      "municipality_name": "四国中央市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shikokuchuo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7459.845,
      "target_votes": 7508.0,
      "votes_delta": 48.155,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.645523,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.877211,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.171156,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.706055
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "383562",
      "municipality_name": "上島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamijima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 713.59,
      "target_votes": 679.0,
      "votes_delta": -34.59,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.847321,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.600174,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.646991,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.953183
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "383864",
      "municipality_name": "久万高原町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kumakogen-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 803.985,
      "target_votes": 751.0,
      "votes_delta": -52.985,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.590297,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.683946,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.280853,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.403093
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384429",
      "municipality_name": "伊方町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikata-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 849.158,
      "target_votes": 787.0,
      "votes_delta": -62.158,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.319957,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.029173,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.14849,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.880683
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382078",
      "municipality_name": "大洲市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ozu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3961.783,
      "target_votes": 3654.0,
      "votes_delta": -307.783,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.7688,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.664422,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.366123,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.298299
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384887",
      "municipality_name": "鬼北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kihoku-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1310.583,
      "target_votes": 1175.0,
      "votes_delta": -135.583,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.345243,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.295806,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.468971,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.826835
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384224",
      "municipality_name": "内子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uchiko-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1589.824,
      "target_votes": 1423.0,
      "votes_delta": -166.824,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.493237,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.926997,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.830224,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.096773
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382108",
      "municipality_name": "伊予市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iyo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3668.544,
      "target_votes": 3232.0,
      "votes_delta": -436.544,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.899653,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.130949,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.222077,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.908872
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384011",
      "municipality_name": "松前町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Masaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3130.594,
      "target_votes": 2743.0,
      "votes_delta": -387.594,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.380845,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.149804,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.420844,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.72896
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382140",
      "municipality_name": "西予市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Seiyo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4001.37,
      "target_votes": 3487.0,
      "votes_delta": -514.37,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.854847,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.927859,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.760895,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.166964
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384020",
      "municipality_name": "砥部町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tobe-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2338.684,
      "target_votes": 2017.0,
      "votes_delta": -321.684,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.754915,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.843173,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.918896,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.924277
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382035",
      "municipality_name": "宇和島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uwajima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8270.287,
      "target_votes": 7078.0,
      "votes_delta": -1192.287,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.416513,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.201996,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.637285,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.564711
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382159",
      "municipality_name": "東温市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Toon-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3550.288,
      "target_votes": 3037.0,
      "votes_delta": -513.288,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.457644,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.998191,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.017137,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.981054
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "385069",
      "municipality_name": "愛南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ainan-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2564.023,
      "target_votes": 2183.0,
      "votes_delta": -381.023,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.860358,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.347384,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.287177,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.060207
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "384844",
      "municipality_name": "松野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsuno-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 410.145,
      "target_votes": 347.0,
      "votes_delta": -63.145,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.395775,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.56388,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.418259,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.145621
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382043",
      "municipality_name": "八幡浜市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yawatahama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3671.633,
      "target_votes": 3038.0,
      "votes_delta": -633.633,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.257525,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.251209,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.915663,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.335546
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "38",
      "prefecture_name": "愛媛県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Ehime",
      "jis_code": "382019",
      "municipality_name": "松山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsuyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 48985.973,
      "target_votes": 38321.0,
      "votes_delta": -10664.973,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.771483,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.874402,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.855113,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.019289
    }
  ]
}
