{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "43",
    "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
    "party_id": "TMI",
    "party_label": "みらい",
    "party_label_en": "Team Mirai",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 50,
    "municipality_count": 50,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": 275.596817,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 900.0
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435112",
      "municipality_name": "五木村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itsuki-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 2.0,
      "target_votes": 20.0,
      "votes_delta": 18.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 900.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.337268,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.430532,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.093264
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435317",
      "municipality_name": "苓北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Reihoku-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 13.0,
      "target_votes": 117.0,
      "votes_delta": 104.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 800.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.412044,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.595575,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.183531
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432059",
      "municipality_name": "水俣市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 53.0,
      "target_votes": 455.0,
      "votes_delta": 402.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 758.490566,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.508198,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.888224,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.380026
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435120",
      "municipality_name": "山江村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamae-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 6.0,
      "target_votes": 48.0,
      "votes_delta": 42.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 700.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.351288,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.749141,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.397853
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434825",
      "municipality_name": "芦北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikita-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 40.0,
      "target_votes": 317.0,
      "votes_delta": 277.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 692.5,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.517264,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.124382,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.607118
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435058",
      "municipality_name": "多良木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taragi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 20.0,
      "target_votes": 155.0,
      "votes_delta": 135.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 675.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.502513,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.707247,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.204734
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433640",
      "municipality_name": "玉東町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gyokuto-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 16.0,
      "target_votes": 117.0,
      "votes_delta": 101.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 631.25,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.613027,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.559626,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.946599
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433489",
      "municipality_name": "美里町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misato-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 18.0,
      "target_votes": 130.0,
      "votes_delta": 112.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 622.222222,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.436575,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.203549,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.766974
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435104",
      "municipality_name": "相良村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sagara-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 9.0,
      "target_votes": 64.0,
      "votes_delta": 55.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 611.111111,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.46344,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.093282,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.629842
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433691",
      "municipality_name": "和水町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagomi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 28.0,
      "target_votes": 194.0,
      "votes_delta": 166.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 592.857143,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.614709,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.152397,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.537688
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434477",
      "municipality_name": "山都町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamato-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 32.0,
      "target_votes": 218.0,
      "votes_delta": 186.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 581.25,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.459506,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.160336,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.70083
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435015",
      "municipality_name": "錦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 27.0,
      "target_votes": 181.0,
      "votes_delta": 154.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 570.37037,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.53742,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.651402,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.113982
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "435147",
      "municipality_name": "あさぎり町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asagiri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 46.0,
      "target_votes": 301.0,
      "votes_delta": 255.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 554.347826,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.648344,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.094124,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.44578
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434841",
      "municipality_name": "津奈木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunagi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 13.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 546.153846,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.598251,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.897912,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.299661
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432156",
      "municipality_name": "天草市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Amakusa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 227.014,
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      "votes_delta": 1236.986,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 544.894147,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.625159,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.036728,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.411569
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433675",
      "municipality_name": "南関町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nankan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 31.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 522.580645,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.740033,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.690158,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.950125
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434248",
      "municipality_name": "小国町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oguni-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 19.02,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.554842,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.426883,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.872041
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434280",
      "municipality_name": "高森町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takamori-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 18.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.593472,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.505355,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.911883
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432130",
      "municipality_name": "宇城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uki-shi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.830499,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.212881
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434680",
      "municipality_name": "氷川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hikawa-cho",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.722656,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.533077
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
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      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434329",
      "municipality_name": "西原村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishihara-mura",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.909608,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.537523
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432032",
      "municipality_name": "人吉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hitoyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 107.0,
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      "votes_delta": 510.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.742437,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.489968
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432024",
      "municipality_name": "八代市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yatsushiro-shi",
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      "votes_delta": 2253.1,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 472.447054,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.866004,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.280182
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432067",
      "municipality_name": "玉名市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tamana-shi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.884778,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.332975
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432148",
      "municipality_name": "阿蘇市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aso-shi",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.665024
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      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434256",
      "municipality_name": "産山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ubuyama-mura",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.036021
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434230",
      "municipality_name": "南小国町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamioguni-machi",
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.414083,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.618749
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434442",
      "municipality_name": "甲佐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kosa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 37.0,
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      "votes_delta": 168.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 454.054054,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.79314,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.593763
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "433683",
      "municipality_name": "長洲町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagasu-machi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.872576,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.072868
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432083",
      "municipality_name": "山鹿市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamaga-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 446.994536,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.797629,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.436467,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.638838
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "431044",
      "municipality_name": "熊本市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 683.926,
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      "votes_delta": 2987.074,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 436.753976,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.120786,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.39046,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.269674
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "434418",
      "municipality_name": "御船町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mifune-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 72.0,
      "target_votes": 381.0,
      "votes_delta": 309.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 429.166667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.861347,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.69154,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.830193
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432105",
      "municipality_name": "菊池市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kikuchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 190.0,
      "target_votes": 975.0,
      "votes_delta": 785.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 413.157895,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.877355,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.592125,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.71477
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "43",
      "prefecture_name": "熊本県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kumamoto",
      "jis_code": "432040",
      "municipality_name": "荒尾市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Arao-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 210.0,
      "target_votes": 1073.0,
      "votes_delta": 863.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 410.952381,
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}
